NJ · #1938 · $10

$1,000,000 Spectacular#1938

New Jersey· Launched Nov 2025· 355 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.70

USA percentile

62th

of 2,159 games

Top prizes left

1

$595,100 tier

% sold-through

77%

2026-10-26

Forecast sellout

~118d

P10–P90: 83–165d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$1,000,000 Spectacular is a $10 scratch-off game from the New Jersey lottery (game #1938). It launched in November 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $595,100 remains unclaimed, with roughly 77% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey lottery. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 11 of 26 $10 games on sale in New Jersey.

THE THESIS

At 0.70 EV/$, this game ranks 11 of 26 same-price games on sale in New Jersey (median 0.69).

  1. 1.25% of $595,100 prizes still unclaimed at 77% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 19.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~118 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 62nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
About this game ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$595.1K
1/4
25%
$10K
6/32
$2K
49/203
$1K
55/229
$500
2.4K/10.4K
$200
4.3K/19.2K
$100
41.8K/187.0K
$50
39.9K/177.4K
$20
187.8K/813.3K
$10
310.4K/1.3M

Total unclaimed prize value: $15.89M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,159 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 62th
USA: 62th percentileNJ: 71th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Aug 6Aug 17Aug 27Sep 6Sep 16Sep 26Oct 6Oct 16Feb 210%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~02-21

Daily drainage

~19.83% / day

Days left (P50)

118 days

P10 / P90 range

83–165 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.70

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +1%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

142 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

ABOUT THIS GAME

$1,000,000 Spectacular (#1938): prizes, value and pace

As of October 26, 2026, 1 of the 4 $595,100 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 586,748 of 2,509,721 prizes (23%) remain; the thinnest level is $10,000, with 19% of its prizes left.

At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $6.96 on average (0.70 per dollar), which ranks 11 of 26 $10 games on sale in New Jersey, level with the $10 median of 0.69. Among every New Jersey game with a computable value it is 41 of 142; nationally it sits in the 62th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.

Over the last 30 days, 144,911 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 118 days (likely range 83–165).

New Jersey also sells another issue of $1,000,000 Spectacular: game #1866. Each issue has its own print run and prize pool, so their odds and remaining prizes differ.

Figures come from the prize data the New Jersey lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 26, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

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