NJ · #1811 · $10

$10,000 Loaded

New Jersey· Launched Sep 2023· 1068 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.69

USA percentile

61th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

70

$10,000 tier

% sold-through

60%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$10,000 Loaded is a $10 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1811). It launched in September 2023. As of the most recent daily scan, 70 top prizes of $10 remain unclaimed, with roughly 60% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.69 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.40% of $10,000 prizes still unclaimed at 60% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.60% sold-through with sufficient prize coverage remaining across all tiers.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 61st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$10K
70/173
40%
$2K
34/83
$500
1.4K/3.6K
$200
3.8K/9.7K
$150
3.9K/10.1K
$100
50.1K/127.6K
$50
39.2K/99.9K
$30
109.2K/277.5K
$20
329.6K/832.4K
$10
335.0K/832.5K

Total unclaimed prize value: $23.01M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 61th
USA: 61th percentileNJ: 68th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Aug 50%25%50%75%100%TODAY

Insufficient historical data for sellout projection.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +33%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 33% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal