Match 2 Win
New Hampshire· Launched Feb 2025· 639 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.61
USA percentile
23th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
2
$500 tier
% sold-through
54%
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
~2113d
P10–P90: 1479–2958d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Match 2 Win is a $1 scratch-off game from the New Hampshire lottery (game #1630). It launched in February 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 54% of tickets sold, as published by the New Hampshire lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.73. Our models put its expected value at 0.61 per dollar, returning about $0.61 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 2 of 9 $1 games on sale in New Hampshire.
THE THESIS
At 0.61 EV/$, this game ranks 2 of 9 same-price games on sale in New Hampshire (median 0.60).
- 1.40% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 54% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 2.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~2113 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 23rd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
9 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $409,678 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NH games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~2.17% / day
Days left (P50)
2113 days
P10 / P90 range
1479–2958 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.61
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — NH field
75 games · break-even highlightedNo other active NH games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Match 2 Win: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 2 of the 5 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 9 prize levels the lottery reports, 142,596 of 311,429 prizes (46%) remain; the thinnest level is $500, with 40% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $1 ticket returns about $0.61 on average (0.61 per dollar), which ranks 2 of 9 $1 games on sale in New Hampshire, above the $1 median of 0.60. Among every New Hampshire game with a computable value it is 42 of 69; nationally it sits in the 23th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 2,164 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 2113 days (likely range 1479–2958).
Figures come from the prize data the New Hampshire lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN NH
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a NH game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.