Match 2 Win — $1 New Hampshire scratch-off ticket
NH · #1630 · $1

Match 2 Win

New Hampshire· Launched Feb 2025· 574 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.61

USA percentile

24th

of 2,082 games

Top prizes left

2

$500 tier

% sold-through

53%

2026-08-31

Forecast sellout

~1496d

P10–P90: 1047–2094d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Match 2 Win is a $1 scratch-off game from the New Hampshire (game #1630). It launched in February 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 53% of tickets sold, as published by the New Hampshire. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.73. Our models put its expected value at 0.61 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.61 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.61 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.40% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 53% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 3.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~1496 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 24th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$500
2/5
40%
$100
290/707
$50
728/1.7K
$20
2.3K/4.9K
$10
7.3K/14.7K
$5
3.3K/7.4K
$4
11.2K/24.5K
$2
54.9K/117.7K
$1
67.4K/139.8K

Total unclaimed prize value: $424,331 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,082 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NH games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NH median0.64 EV/$
YOU · 24th
USA: 24th percentileNH: 37th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jun 9Jun 18Jun 27Jul 19Jul 27Aug 4Aug 14Aug 23Oct 50%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~10-05

Daily drainage

~3.17% / day

Days left (P50)

1496 days

P10 / P90 range

1047–2094 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.61

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -4%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NH field

64 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.300.601.07break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active NH games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NH

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

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