NH · #1658 · $25

$2,000,000 Ultimate Granite Bonus

New Hampshire· Launched Sep 2025· 310 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.77

USA percentile

87th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$2,000,000 tier

% sold-through

32%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~805d

P10–P90: 564–1127d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$2,000,000 Ultimate Granite Bonus is a $25 scratch-off game from the New Hampshire (game #1658). It launched in September 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $2M remain unclaimed, with roughly 32% of tickets sold, as published by the New Hampshire. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.08. Our models put its expected value at 0.77 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.77 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.77 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.50% of $2.0M prizes still unclaimed at 32% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 8.50% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~805 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 87th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$2M
2/4
50%
$200K
3/4
$25K
14/20
$10K
41/60
$5K
70/96
$1K
840/1.2K
$500
9.2K/13.4K
$200
9.3K/13.7K
$150
8.1K/11.9K
$100
103.9K/152.2K
$50
133.4K/195.3K
$30
171.8K/250.8K
$25
305.5K/446.1K

Total unclaimed prize value: $44.06M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NH games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NH median0.65 EV/$
YOU · 87th
USA: 87th percentileNH: 93th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jun 3Jun 9Jun 15Jun 22Jun 29Jul 18Jul 24Jul 30Oct 180%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~10-18

Daily drainage

~8.50% / day

Days left (P50)

805 days

P10 / P90 range

564–1127 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.77

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +4%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NH field

64 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.300.601.07break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active NH games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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