NC · #2 · $5

LOTERIA® Fiesta

North Carolina· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.68

USA percentile

51th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$150,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

LOTERIA® Fiesta is a $5 scratch-off game from the North Carolina (game #2). As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $150 remain unclaimed, as published by the North Carolina. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.86. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $150,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 51st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

16 tiers · % remaining
$150K
2/6
33%
$10K
1/12
$1K
2/18
$500
21/125
$300
49/251
$200
107/624
$100
1.7K/9.8K
$75
808/4.9K
$50
4.9K/30.5K
$40
1.5K/9.1K
$30
11.2K/70.1K
$25
20.6K/122.1K
$20
27.2K/152.7K
$15
42.5K/244.2K
$10
95.5K/519.0K
$5
148.3K/732.8K

Total unclaimed prize value: $4.62M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NC games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NC median0.70 EV/$
YOU · 51th
USA: 51th percentileNC: 36th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +4%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NC field

98 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.300.601.04break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active NC games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NC

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal