$5,000,000 Ultimate
North Carolina· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.86
USA percentile
98th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
3
$5,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$5,000,000 Ultimate is a $30 scratch-off game from the North Carolina lottery (game #876). As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $5M remain unclaimed, as published by the North Carolina lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.01. Our models put its expected value at 0.86 per dollar, returning about $0.86 per dollar on average at current prize levels, the best of 10 $30 games on sale in North Carolina.
THE THESIS
At 0.86 EV/$, this game ranks 1 of 10 same-price games on sale in North Carolina (median 0.82).
- 1.60% of $5.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 98th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
12 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $107.14M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NC games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — NC field
112 games · break-even highlightedNo other active NC games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$5,000,000 Ultimate: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 3 of the 5 $5,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 12 prize levels the lottery reports, 1,373,203 of 5,537,410 prizes (25%) remain; the thinnest level is $20,000, with 23% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $30 ticket returns about $25.92 on average (0.86 per dollar), which ranks 1 of 10 $30 games on sale in North Carolina, above the $30 median of 0.82. Among every North Carolina game with a computable value it is 3 of 112; nationally it sits in the 98th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 19,355 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the North Carolina lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN NC
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a NC game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.