NC · #11 · $10

$1,000,000 Bonus Match

North Carolina· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.86

USA percentile

97th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$1,000,000 Bonus Match is a $10 scratch-off game from the North Carolina (game #11). As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, as published by the North Carolina. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.76. Our models put its expected value at 0.86 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.86 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.86 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.40% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 97th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$1M
2/5
40%
$50K
0/5
$10K
2/20
$5K
5/30
$2K
13/103
$500
253/2.4K
$200
526/4.9K
$100
10.1K/92.3K
$50
27.1K/246.7K
$30
10.8K/92.9K
$20
93.7K/788.8K
$10
102.9K/740.4K

Total unclaimed prize value: $7.90M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NC games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NC median0.70 EV/$
YOU · 97th
USA: 97th percentileNC: 94th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +13%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NC field

98 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.300.601.04break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active NC games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NC

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal