$1,000,000 Bonus Match
North Carolina· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.83
USA percentile
97th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
1
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$1,000,000 Bonus Match is a $10 scratch-off game from the North Carolina lottery (game #11). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $1M remains unclaimed, as published by the North Carolina lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.76. Our models put its expected value at 0.83 per dollar, returning about $0.83 per dollar on average at current prize levels, the best of 18 $10 games on sale in North Carolina.
THE THESIS
At 0.83 EV/$, this game ranks 1 of 18 same-price games on sale in North Carolina (median 0.75).
- 1.20% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 97th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
12 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $3.30M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NC games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 37% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — NC field
112 games · break-even highlightedNo other active NC games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$1,000,000 Bonus Match: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 1 of the 5 $1,000,000 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 12 prize levels the lottery reports, 105,946 of 1,968,633 prizes (5%) remain; every $50,000 prize has already been claimed.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $8.29 on average (0.83 per dollar), which ranks 1 of 18 $10 games on sale in North Carolina, above the $10 median of 0.75. Among every North Carolina game with a computable value it is 7 of 112; nationally it sits in the 97th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 17,982 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the North Carolina lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN NC
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a NC game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.