MS · #171 · $2

Double Match

Mississippi· Launched Apr 2024· 828 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.52

USA percentile

4th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$20,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Double Match is a $2 scratch-off game from the Mississippi (game #171). It launched in April 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $20 remains unclaimed, as published by the Mississippi. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.23. Our models put its expected value at 0.52 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.52 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.52 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.50% of $20,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 4th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$20K
1/2
50%
$5K
1/4
$500
16/77
$100
147/1.5K
$50
296/3.1K
$30
385/3.9K
$20
1.3K/12.5K
$15
1.0K/15.7K
$10
3.1K/31.3K
$5
8.1K/62.6K
$3
23.6K/125.3K
$2
38.4K/187.9K

Total unclaimed prize value: $333,024 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MS games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
MS median0.60 EV/$
YOU · 4th
USA: 4th percentileMS: 22th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -18%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 18% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — MS field

96 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.96YOU

No other active MS games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal