
Missouri· Launched Oct 2026· 13 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.74
USA percentile
79th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
2
$200,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
HOLIDAY WINNINGS is a $10 scratch-off game from the Missouri lottery (game #570). It launched in October 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $200,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Missouri lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.24. Our models put its expected value at 0.74 per dollar, returning about $0.74 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 8 of 12 $10 games on sale in Missouri.
THE THESIS
At 0.74 EV/$, this game ranks 8 of 12 same-price games on sale in Missouri (median 0.75).
Total unclaimed prize value: $15.48M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MO games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Trailing 7-day claim rate 31% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
1 other MO game above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of October 25, 2026, 2 of the 2 $200,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 12 prize levels the lottery reports, 642,703 of 697,565 prizes (92%) remain.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $7.44 on average (0.74 per dollar), which ranks 8 of 12 $10 games on sale in Missouri, level with the $10 median of 0.75. Among every Missouri game with a computable value it is 28 of 98; nationally it sits in the 79th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 13 days, 54,853 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Missouri lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MO
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a MO game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.