HAPPY HOLIDAYS
Missouri· Launched Oct 2026· 13 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.66
USA percentile
48th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
12
$1,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
HAPPY HOLIDAYS is a $1 scratch-off game from the Missouri lottery (game #573). It launched in October 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 12 top prizes of $1,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Missouri lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.61. Our models put its expected value at 0.66 per dollar, returning about $0.66 per dollar on average at current prize levels, the best of 7 $1 games on sale in Missouri.
THE THESIS
At 0.66 EV/$, this game ranks 1 of 7 same-price games on sale in Missouri (median 0.61).
- 1.100% of $1,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 48th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
11 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $5.25M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,154 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MO games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 58% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
Price vs EV — MO field
98 games · break-even highlighted1 other MO game above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
HAPPY HOLIDAYS: prizes, value and pace
As of October 25, 2026, 12 of the 12 $1,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 11 prize levels the lottery reports, 1,712,834 of 1,813,110 prizes (94%) remain.
At current prize levels a $1 ticket returns about $0.66 on average (0.66 per dollar), which ranks 1 of 7 $1 games on sale in Missouri, above the $1 median of 0.61. Among every Missouri game with a computable value it is 54 of 98; nationally it sits in the 48th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 13 days, 100,272 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Missouri lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MO
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a MO game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.