MO · #506 · $5

EXTREME GREEN

Missouri· Launched Mar 2025· 492 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.69

USA percentile

58th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$100,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

EXTREME GREEN is a $5 scratch-off game from the Missouri (game #506). It launched in March 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $100 remains unclaimed, as published by the Missouri. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.84. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.69 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.20% of $100,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 58th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$100K
1/5
20%
$20K
1/9
$5K
3/26
$1K
15/153
$500
13/180
$200
51/698
$100
1.2K/13.3K
$75
182/2.8K
$50
1.1K/10.4K
$40
2.2K/34.6K
$25
3.4K/34.5K
$20
8.9K/103.8K
$10
62.7K/656.7K

Total unclaimed prize value: $1.33M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MO games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
MO median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 58th
USA: 58th percentileMO: 58th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -11%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — MO field

88 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.350.701.21break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other MO game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal