
Missouri· Launched Jul 2026· 90 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.75
USA percentile
80th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
1
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
BLACK DIAMOND is a $10 scratch-off game from the Missouri lottery (game #548). It launched in July 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $1M remains unclaimed, as published by the Missouri lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.22. Our models put its expected value at 0.75 per dollar, returning about $0.75 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 7 of 12 $10 games on sale in Missouri.
THE THESIS
At 0.75 EV/$, this game ranks 7 of 12 same-price games on sale in Missouri (median 0.75).
Total unclaimed prize value: $21.59M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MO games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
1 other MO game above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of October 25, 2026, 1 of the 2 $1,000,000 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 13 prize levels the lottery reports, 898,561 of 1,423,239 prizes (63%) remain.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $7.46 on average (0.75 per dollar), which ranks 7 of 12 $10 games on sale in Missouri, level with the $10 median of 0.75. Among every Missouri game with a computable value it is 27 of 98; nationally it sits in the 80th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 134,004 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Missouri lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MO
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a MO game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.