MO · #554 · $50

500X PAYOUT

Missouri· Launched Mar 2026· 139 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.81

USA percentile

95th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$5,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

500X PAYOUT is a $50 scratch-off game from the Missouri (game #554). It launched in March 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $5M remain unclaimed, as published by the Missouri. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.19. Our models put its expected value at 0.81 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.81 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.81 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.67% of $5.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 95th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

11 tiers · % remaining
$5M
2/3
67%
$1M
3/3
$50K
45/50
$10K
224/260
$5K
630/728
$1K
2.3K/2.6K
$500
109.9K/127.5K
$200
120.2K/139.4K
$100
685.7K/795.8K
$75
457.4K/530.5K
$50
343.3K/397.9K

Total unclaimed prize value: $221.98M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MO games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
MO median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 95th
USA: 95th percentileMO: 90th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +34%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 34% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — MO field

88 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.350.701.21break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other MO game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal