
Michigan· Launched Jan 2026· 302 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.75
USA percentile
82th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
12505
$200 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Win $50, $100 or $200 is a $10 scratch-off game from the Michigan lottery (game #709). It launched in January 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 12505 top prizes of $200 remain unclaimed, as published by the Michigan lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 9.17. Our models put its expected value at 0.75 per dollar, returning about $0.75 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 25 of 26 $10 games on sale in Michigan.
THE THESIS
At 0.75 EV/$, this game ranks 25 of 26 same-price games on sale in Michigan (median 0.77).
Total unclaimed prize value: $17.73M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
2 other MI games above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of November 4, 2026, 12505 of the 38,311 $200 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 3 prize levels the lottery reports, 257,630 of 784,306 prizes (33%) remain; the thinnest level is $100, with 33% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $7.51 on average (0.75 per dollar), which ranks 25 of 26 $10 games on sale in Michigan, below the $10 median of 0.77. Among every Michigan game with a computable value it is 62 of 131; nationally it sits in the 82th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 34,728 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1,721 top prizes.
Figures come from the prize data the Michigan lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a MI game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.