
Michigan· Launched Aug 2026· 91 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.70
USA percentile
65th
of 2,195 games
Top prizes left
2
$500,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-03
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Stampede Payout is a $5 scratch-off game from the Michigan lottery (game #758). It launched in August 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $500,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Michigan lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.04. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 16 of 31 $5 games on sale in Michigan.
THE THESIS
At 0.70 EV/$, this game ranks 16 of 31 same-price games on sale in Michigan (median 0.70).
Total unclaimed prize value: $12.34M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
2 other MI games above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of November 3, 2026, 2 of the 3 $500,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 9 prize levels the lottery reports, 869,024 of 1,557,677 prizes (56%) remain; the thinnest level is $2,000, with 40% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.51 on average (0.70 per dollar), which ranks 16 of 31 $5 games on sale in Michigan, level with the $5 median of 0.70. Among every Michigan game with a computable value it is 81 of 131; nationally it sits in the 65th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 152,562 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Michigan lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 3, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a MI game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.