Stampede Payout — $5 Michigan scratch-off ticket
MI · #758 · $5

Stampede Payout

Michigan· Launched Aug 2026· 91 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.70

USA percentile

65th

of 2,195 games

Top prizes left

2

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

—

2026-11-03

Forecast sellout

—

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Stampede Payout is a $5 scratch-off game from the Michigan lottery (game #758). It launched in August 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $500,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Michigan lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.04. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 16 of 31 $5 games on sale in Michigan.

THE THESIS

At 0.70 EV/$, this game ranks 16 of 31 same-price games on sale in Michigan (median 0.70).

  1. 1.67% of $500,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 65th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
About this game ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$500K
2/3
67%
$2K
4/10
$500
73/123
$100
2.2K/4.2K
$50
36.7K/67.6K
$20
178.9K/327.3K
$15
90.5K/163.5K
$10
299.6K/541.4K
$5
261.0K/453.5K

Total unclaimed prize value: $12.34M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,195 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
MI median0.74 EV/$
YOU · 65th
USA: 65th percentileMI: 38th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -9%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — MI field

131 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.350.701.33break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

2 other MI games above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

ABOUT THIS GAME

Stampede Payout: prizes, value and pace

As of November 3, 2026, 2 of the 3 $500,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 9 prize levels the lottery reports, 869,024 of 1,557,677 prizes (56%) remain; the thinnest level is $2,000, with 40% of its prizes left.

At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.51 on average (0.70 per dollar), which ranks 16 of 31 $5 games on sale in Michigan, level with the $5 median of 0.70. Among every Michigan game with a computable value it is 81 of 131; nationally it sits in the 65th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.

Over the last 30 days, 152,562 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.

Figures come from the prize data the Michigan lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 3, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

We alert you the day a MI game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.

A weekly digest and break-even alerts for your states. We'll email you a confirmation link first. Unsubscribe in one click, any time. What you'll get