
Michigan· Launched Aug 2024· 820 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.77
USA percentile
87th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
2
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Million Dollar Madness is a $10 scratch-off game from the Michigan lottery (game #605). It launched in August 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, as published by the Michigan lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.84. Our models put its expected value at 0.77 per dollar, returning about $0.77 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 11 of 26 $10 games on sale in Michigan.
THE THESIS
At 0.77 EV/$, this game ranks 11 of 26 same-price games on sale in Michigan (median 0.77).
Total unclaimed prize value: $32.73M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Trailing 7-day claim rate 36% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
2 other MI games above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of November 4, 2026, 2 of the 3 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 1,108,684 of 1,831,247 prizes (61%) remain.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $7.69 on average (0.77 per dollar), which ranks 11 of 26 $10 games on sale in Michigan, level with the $10 median of 0.77. Among every Michigan game with a computable value it is 43 of 131; nationally it sits in the 87th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 87 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Michigan lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a MI game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.