Ace of Spades
Michigan· Launched Apr 2024· 946 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.82
USA percentile
95th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
2
$2,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Ace of Spades is a $20 scratch-off game from the Michigan lottery (game #600). It launched in April 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $2M remain unclaimed, as published by the Michigan lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.57. Our models put its expected value at 0.82 per dollar, returning about $0.82 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 5 of 18 $20 games on sale in Michigan.
THE THESIS
At 0.82 EV/$, this game ranks 5 of 18 same-price games on sale in Michigan (median 0.80).
- 1.67% of $2.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 95th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
8 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $44.11M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 20% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
Price vs EV — MI field
131 games · break-even highlighted2 other MI games above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Ace of Spades: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 2 of the 3 $2,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 8 prize levels the lottery reports, 757,098 of 1,934,653 prizes (39%) remain; the thinnest level is $40, with 39% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $20 ticket returns about $16.32 on average (0.82 per dollar), which ranks 5 of 18 $20 games on sale in Michigan, above the $20 median of 0.80. Among every Michigan game with a computable value it is 13 of 131; nationally it sits in the 95th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 51 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Michigan lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a MI game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.