5X
Michigan· Launched Feb 2025· 638 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.57
USA percentile
10th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
2
$5,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
5X is a $1 scratch-off game from the Michigan lottery (game #688). It launched in February 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $5,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Michigan lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.77. Our models put its expected value at 0.57 per dollar, returning about $0.57 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 5 of 6 $1 games on sale in Michigan.
THE THESIS
At 0.57 EV/$, this game ranks 5 of 6 same-price games on sale in Michigan (median 0.58).
- 1.40% of $5,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 10th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
10 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $1.20M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — MI field
131 games · break-even highlighted2 other MI games above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
5X: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 2 of the 5 $5,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 445,094 of 2,368,828 prizes (19%) remain; the thinnest level is $40, with 10% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $1 ticket returns about $0.57 on average (0.57 per dollar), which ranks 5 of 6 $1 games on sale in Michigan, below the $1 median of 0.58. Among every Michigan game with a computable value it is 130 of 131; nationally it sits in the 10th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 2,510 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Michigan lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a MI game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.