MI · #678 · $30

$150,000,000 Spectacular

Michigan· Launched Dec 2024· 610 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.80

USA percentile

94th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$4,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$150,000,000 Spectacular is a $30 scratch-off game from the Michigan (game #678). It launched in December 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $4M remain unclaimed, as published by the Michigan. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.97. Our models put its expected value at 0.80 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.80 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.80 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.67% of $4.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 94th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

8 tiers · % remaining
$4M
2/3
67%
$10K
17/20
$2K
640/1.1K
$600
5.4K/9.1K
$200
130.9K/221.7K
$100
298.9K/506.4K
$60
214.7K/361.7K
$50
428.1K/723.4K

Total unclaimed prize value: $103.04M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
MI median0.75 EV/$
YOU · 94th
USA: 94th percentileMI: 82th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +5%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — MI field

118 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.350.701.33break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

2 other MI games above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal