Let’s Make a Deal®
Maryland· scanned 7d ago
EV / Dollar
0.68
USA percentile
54th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
1
$50,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-28
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Let’s Make a Deal® is a $5 scratch-off game from the Maryland lottery (game #741). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $50,000 remains unclaimed, as published by the Maryland lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.97. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 21 of 24 $5 games on sale in Maryland.
THE THESIS
At 0.68 EV/$, this game ranks 21 of 24 same-price games on sale in Maryland (median 0.71).
- 1.14% of $50,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 54th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
17 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $1.11M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MD games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 100% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — MD field
114 games · break-even highlightedNo other active MD games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Let’s Make a Deal®: prizes, value and pace
As of October 28, 2026, 1 of the 7 $50,000 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 17 prize levels the lottery reports, 82,186 of 1,038,372 prizes (8%) remain; every $1,000 prize has already been claimed.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.39 on average (0.68 per dollar), which ranks 21 of 24 $5 games on sale in Maryland, below the $5 median of 0.71. Among every Maryland game with a computable value it is 80 of 114; nationally it sits in the 54th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 777 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Maryland lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 28, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MD
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a MD game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.