MD · #741 · $5

Let’s Make a Deal®

Maryland· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.68

USA percentile

54th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$50,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Let’s Make a Deal® is a $5 scratch-off game from the Maryland (game #741). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $50 remains unclaimed, as published by the Maryland. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.97. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.14% of $50,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 54th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

17 tiers · % remaining
$50K
1/7
14%
$5K
2/13
$1K
0/38
$500
21/269
$250
77/846
$250
50/653
$100
91/1.2K
$100
225/2.8K
$50
2.3K/30.2K
$50
3.7K/49.9K
$25
2.7K/34.3K
$25
4.0K/51.3K
$15
5.9K/75.7K
$15
7.5K/89.7K
$10
8.5K/106.6K
$10
14.5K/164.9K
$5
42.5K/429.8K

Total unclaimed prize value: $1.24M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MD games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
MD median0.73 EV/$
YOU · 54th
USA: 54th percentileMD: 30th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · 0%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — MD field

100 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.93YOU

No other active MD games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN MD

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal