$5,000 Large
Maryland· scanned 7d ago
EV / Dollar
0.79
USA percentile
91th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
792
$5,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-28
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$5,000 Large is a $30 scratch-off game from the Maryland lottery (game #712). As of the most recent daily scan, 792 top prizes of $5,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Maryland lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 2.64. Our models put its expected value at 0.79 per dollar, returning about $0.79 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 6 of 8 $30 games on sale in Maryland.
THE THESIS
At 0.79 EV/$, this game ranks 6 of 8 same-price games on sale in Maryland (median 0.79).
- 1.75% of $5,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 91st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
8 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $58.38M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MD games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 100% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — MD field
114 games · break-even highlightedNo other active MD games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$5,000 Large: prizes, value and pace
As of October 28, 2026, 792 of the 1,057 $5,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 8 prize levels the lottery reports, 936,391 of 1,244,213 prizes (75%) remain.
At current prize levels a $30 ticket returns about $23.62 on average (0.79 per dollar), which ranks 6 of 8 $30 games on sale in Maryland, below the $30 median of 0.79. Among every Maryland game with a computable value it is 13 of 114; nationally it sits in the 91th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 1,561 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Maryland lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 28, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN MD
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a MD game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.