National Lampoon's Christmas Vacation
Kentucky· Launched Oct 2026· 3 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.70
USA percentile
64th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
3
$100,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
National Lampoon's Christmas Vacation is a $5 scratch-off game from the Kentucky lottery (game #161). It launched in October 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $100,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Kentucky lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.57. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 3 of 4 $5 games on sale in Kentucky.
THE THESIS
At 0.70 EV/$, this game ranks 3 of 4 same-price games on sale in Kentucky (median 0.70).
- 1.Ranks in the 64th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
10 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $6.96M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,154 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active KY games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersPrice vs EV — KY field
141 games · break-even highlightedNo other active KY games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
National Lampoon's Christmas Vacation: prizes, value and pace
As of October 25, 2026, 3 $100,000 top prizes are still unclaimed.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.5 on average (0.70 per dollar), which ranks 3 of 4 $5 games on sale in Kentucky, level with the $5 median of 0.70. Among every Kentucky game with a computable value it is 8 of 12; nationally it sits in the 64th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Figures come from the prize data the Kentucky lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN KY
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a KY game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.