FL · #1518 · $5

THE PRICE IS RIGHT

Florida· Launched Feb 2023· 1346 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.75

USA percentile

80th

of 2,201 games

Top prizes left

4

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

—

2026-11-04

Forecast sellout

—

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

THE PRICE IS RIGHT is a $5 scratch-off game from the Florida lottery (game #1518). It launched in February 2023. As of the most recent daily scan, 4 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, as published by the Florida lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4. Our models put its expected value at 0.75 per dollar, returning about $0.75 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 2 of 22 $5 games on sale in Florida.

THE THESIS

At 0.75 EV/$, this game ranks 2 of 22 same-price games on sale in Florida (median 0.70).

  1. 1.50% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 80th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
About this game ↓

Prize ladder

14 tiers · % remaining
$1M
4/8
50%
$50K
17/40
$10K
37/90
$5K
210/564
$1K
676/1.7K
$500
3.5K/9.2K
$200
4.4K/11.4K
$100
27.2K/70.7K
$50
31.5K/81.7K
$30
26.5K/68.7K
$25
50.9K/132.5K
$20
147.8K/382.0K
$10
1.1M/2.7M
$5
938.6K/2.3M

Total unclaimed prize value: $34.14M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,201 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active FL games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
FL median0.69 EV/$
YOU · 80th
USA: 80th percentileFL: 72th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -4%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — FL field

109 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.300.601.14break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other FL game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

ABOUT THIS GAME

THE PRICE IS RIGHT: prizes, value and pace

As of November 4, 2026, 4 of the 8 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 14 prize levels the lottery reports, 2,286,097 of 5,724,652 prizes (40%) remain; the thinnest level is $5,000, with 37% of its prizes left.

At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.73 on average (0.75 per dollar), which ranks 2 of 22 $5 games on sale in Florida, above the $5 median of 0.70. Among every Florida game with a computable value it is 30 of 107; nationally it sits in the 80th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.

Over the last 30 days, 14,948 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.

Figures come from the prize data the Florida lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN FL

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

We alert you the day a FL game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.

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