FL · #1518 · $5

THE PRICE IS RIGHT

Florida· Launched Feb 2023· 1211 days on shelf· scanned 10d ago

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.76

USA percentile

85th

of 1,870 games

Top prizes left

5

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-06-12

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

THE PRICE IS RIGHT is a $5 scratch-off game from the Florida (game #1518). It launched in February 2023. As of the most recent daily scan, 5 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, as published by the Florida. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4. Our models put its expected value at 0.76 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.76 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.76 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.63% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 85th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

14 tiers · % remaining
$1M
5/8
63%
$50K
17/40
$10K
37/90
$5K
213/564
$1K
700/1.7K
$500
3.7K/9.2K
$200
4.5K/11.4K
$100
28.1K/70.7K
$50
32.6K/81.7K
$30
27.4K/68.7K
$25
52.7K/132.5K
$20
153.1K/382.0K
$10
1.1M/2.7M
$5
969.6K/2.3M

Total unclaimed prize value: $36.13M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,870 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active FL games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
FL median0.69 EV/$
YOU · 85th
USA: 85th percentileFL: 81th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -100%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 100% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — FL field

90 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.300.601.14break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

2 other FL games above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN FL

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal