FL · #1645 · $5

BLACK PEARLS

Florida· Launched Sep 2026· 45 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.73

USA percentile

76th

of 2,203 games

Top prizes left

3

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

—

2026-11-05

Forecast sellout

—

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

BLACK PEARLS is a $5 scratch-off game from the Florida lottery (game #1645). It launched in September 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, as published by the Florida lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.93. Our models put its expected value at 0.73 per dollar, returning about $0.73 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 3 of 22 $5 games on sale in Florida.

THE THESIS

At 0.73 EV/$, this game ranks 3 of 22 same-price games on sale in Florida (median 0.70).

  1. 1.75% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 76th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
About this game ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$1M
3/4
75%
$10K
6/8
$5K
11/20
$1K
410/592
$500
7.6K/11.6K
$100
15.1K/23.3K
$50
76.4K/116.6K
$30
30.6K/46.6K
$25
30.7K/46.7K
$20
153.2K/233.4K
$15
184.5K/280.1K
$10
925.9K/1.4M
$5
941.5K/1.4M

Total unclaimed prize value: $34.13M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,203 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active FL games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
FL median0.69 EV/$
YOU · 76th
USA: 76th percentileFL: 68th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -25%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 25% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — FL field

109 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.300.601.14break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other FL game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

ABOUT THIS GAME

BLACK PEARLS: prizes, value and pace

As of November 5, 2026, 3 of the 4 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 13 prize levels the lottery reports, 2,365,908 of 3,560,292 prizes (66%) remain.

At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.67 on average (0.73 per dollar), which ranks 3 of 22 $5 games on sale in Florida, above the $5 median of 0.70. Among every Florida game with a computable value it is 34 of 107; nationally it sits in the 76th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.

Over the last 30 days, 673,564 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.

Figures come from the prize data the Florida lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 5, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN FL

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

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