Florida· Launched Sep 2026· 45 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.80
USA percentile
93th
of 2,203 games
Top prizes left
5
$2,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-05
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$2,000,000 SPECTACULAR is a $10 scratch-off game from the Florida lottery (game #1646). It launched in September 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 5 top prizes of $2M remain unclaimed, as published by the Florida lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.38. Our models put its expected value at 0.80 per dollar, returning about $0.80 per dollar on average at current prize levels, the best of 11 $10 games on sale in Florida.
THE THESIS
At 0.80 EV/$, this game ranks 1 of 11 same-price games on sale in Florida (median 0.75).
Total unclaimed prize value: $75.63M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active FL games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Trailing 7-day claim rate 24% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
1 other FL game above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of November 5, 2026, 5 of the 6 $2,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 14 prize levels the lottery reports, 2,795,228 of 3,965,286 prizes (70%) remain.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $8 on average (0.80 per dollar), which ranks 1 of 11 $10 games on sale in Florida, above the $10 median of 0.75. Among every Florida game with a computable value it is 10 of 107; nationally it sits in the 93th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 680,730 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Florida lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 5, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN FL
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a FL game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.