Washington Commanders#1631
District of Columbia· Launched Aug 2025· 455 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.79
USA percentile
91th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
2
$75,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Washington Commanders is a $5 scratch-off game from the District of Columbia lottery (game #1631). It launched in August 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $75,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the District of Columbia lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.99. Our models put its expected value at 0.79 per dollar, returning about $0.79 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 4 of 47 $5 games on sale in District of Columbia.
THE THESIS
At 0.79 EV/$, this game ranks 4 of 47 same-price games on sale in District of Columbia (median 0.70).
- 1.100% of $75,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 91st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
10 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $663,810 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active DC games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 44% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
Price vs EV — DC field
200 games · break-even highlightedNo other active DC games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Washington Commanders (#1631): prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 2 of the 2 $75,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 42,308 of 91,664 prizes (46%) remain; the thinnest level is $1,000, with 33% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.93 on average (0.79 per dollar), which ranks 4 of 47 $5 games on sale in District of Columbia, above the $5 median of 0.70. Among every District of Columbia game with a computable value it is 16 of 169; nationally it sits in the 91th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 1,128 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the District of Columbia lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN DC
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a DC game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.