Hit $500
District of Columbia· Launched May 2024· 917 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.71
USA percentile
68th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
116
$500 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Hit $500 is a $5 scratch-off game from the District of Columbia lottery (game #1585). It launched in May 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 116 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, as published by the District of Columbia lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.11. Our models put its expected value at 0.71 per dollar, returning about $0.71 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 20 of 46 $5 games on sale in District of Columbia.
THE THESIS
At 0.71 EV/$, this game ranks 20 of 46 same-price games on sale in District of Columbia (median 0.70).
- 1.28% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 68th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
6 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $226,220 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active DC games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersPrice vs EV — DC field
200 games · break-even highlightedNo other active DC games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Hit $500: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 116 of the 421 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 6 prize levels the lottery reports, 15,555 of 59,152 prizes (26%) remain; the thinnest level is $100, with 24% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.54 on average (0.71 per dollar), which ranks 20 of 46 $5 games on sale in District of Columbia, level with the $5 median of 0.70. Among every District of Columbia game with a computable value it is 61 of 169; nationally it sits in the 68th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
No claims were recorded on the reported prize levels over the last 30 days.
Figures come from the prize data the District of Columbia lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN DC
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a DC game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.