$500 MAYHEM
District of Columbia· Launched May 2025· 546 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.70
USA percentile
66th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
147
$500 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$500 MAYHEM is a $5 scratch-off game from the District of Columbia lottery (game #1623). It launched in May 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 147 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, as published by the District of Columbia lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.11. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 21 of 46 $5 games on sale in District of Columbia.
THE THESIS
At 0.70 EV/$, this game ranks 21 of 46 same-price games on sale in District of Columbia (median 0.70).
- 1.34% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 66th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
6 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $286,070 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active DC games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 45% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — DC field
200 games · break-even highlightedNo other active DC games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$500 MAYHEM: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 147 of the 433 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 6 prize levels the lottery reports, 19,768 of 59,615 prizes (33%) remain; the thinnest level is $50, with 31% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.52 on average (0.70 per dollar), which ranks 21 of 46 $5 games on sale in District of Columbia, level with the $5 median of 0.70. Among every District of Columbia game with a computable value it is 64 of 169; nationally it sits in the 66th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 51 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the District of Columbia lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN DC
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a DC game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.