CT · #1831 · $1

Hit $50

Connecticut· Launched May 2025· 461 days on shelf· scanned 6d ago

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.42

USA percentile

1th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

285

$50 tier

% sold-through

92%

2026-07-30

Forecast sellout

~2406d

P10–P90: 1684–3368d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Hit $50 is a $1 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1831). It launched in May 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 285 top prizes of $50 remain unclaimed, with roughly 92% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 5.51. Our models put its expected value at 0.42 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.42 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.42 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.3% of $50 prizes still unclaimed at 92% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 0.33% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~2406 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 1st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

7 tiers · % remaining
$50
285/8.3K
3%
$20
82/2.0K
$10
345/7.8K
$5
728/13.7K
$4
678/11.8K
$2
6.9K/94.0K
$1
13.8K/146.8K

Total unclaimed prize value: $53,291 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CT median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 1th
USA: 1th percentileCT: 0th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jun 1Jun 7Jun 13Jun 19Jun 25Jul 14Jul 20Jul 26Mar 70%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~03-07

Daily drainage

~0.33% / day

Days left (P50)

2406 days

P10 / P90 range

1684–3368 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.42

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -79%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 79% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — CT field

50 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.97YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal