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$500 Loaded!
Connecticut· Launched Apr 2026· 151 days on shelf· scanned 11d ago
EV / Dollar
0.68
USA percentile
55th
of 2,082 games
Top prizes left
5144
$500 tier
% sold-through
54%
2026-08-20
Forecast sellout
~212d
P10–P90: 148–297d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$500 Loaded! is a $10 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1873). It launched in April 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 5144 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 54% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.41. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.
THE THESIS
At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.
- 1.45% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 54% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 21.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~212 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 55th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
7 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $5.98M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,082 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~21.83% / day
Days left (P50)
212 days
P10 / P90 range
148–297 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.68
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 100% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — CT field
57 games · break-even highlightedNo other active CT games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN CT
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a CT game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.