CA · #1729 · $3

LOTERIA™

California· Launched May 2026· 79 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.66

USA percentile

45th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

$30,000 tier

% sold-through

—

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

—

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

LOTERIA™ is a $3 scratch-off game from the California (game #1729). It launched in May 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 32 top prizes of $30 remain unclaimed, as published by the California. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.74. Our models put its expected value at 0.66 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.66 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.66 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

1.80% of $30,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
2.Ranks in the 45th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.

Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

11 tiers · % remaining

$30K

32/40

80%

$3K

158/210

$300

2.1K/3.1K

$75

26.7K/38.7K

$50

40.9K/59.2K

$25

82.9K/120.3K

$20

170.1K/244.9K

$15

169.5K/244.8K

$10

548.5K/783.5K

1.8M/2.6M

1.7M/2.4M

Total unclaimed prize value: $34.05M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$

CA median0.71 EV/$

YOU · 45th

USA: 45th percentileCA: 36th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection

Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers

30d ago15dlast 7d · -3%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — CA field

67 games · break-even highlighted

No other active CA games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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