California· Launched Aug 2026· 62 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.69
USA percentile
61th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
14875
$500 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Full of 500's is a $5 scratch-off game from the California lottery (game #1742). It launched in August 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 14875 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, as published by the California lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.43. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 5 of 12 $5 games on sale in California.
THE THESIS
At 0.69 EV/$, this game ranks 5 of 12 same-price games on sale in California (median 0.69).
Total unclaimed prize value: $36.12M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
No other active CA games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of October 25, 2026, 14875 of the 26,250 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 8 prize levels the lottery reports, 2,349,928 of 4,059,324 prizes (58%) remain.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.47 on average (0.69 per dollar), which ranks 5 of 12 $5 games on sale in California, above the $5 median of 0.69. Among every California game with a computable value it is 43 of 80; nationally it sits in the 61th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 718,900 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 4,800 top prizes.
Figures come from the prize data the California lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN CA
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a CA game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.