$5,000,000 Extreme Cash
California· Launched Aug 2026· 62 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.81
USA percentile
94th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
4
$5,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$5,000,000 Extreme Cash is a $20 scratch-off game from the California lottery (game #1744). It launched in August 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 4 top prizes of $5M remain unclaimed, as published by the California lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.00. Our models put its expected value at 0.81 per dollar, returning about $0.81 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 4 of 13 $20 games on sale in California.
THE THESIS
At 0.81 EV/$, this game ranks 4 of 13 same-price games on sale in California (median 0.79).
- 1.100% of $5.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 94th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
12 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $140.12M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,154 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 17% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — CA field
80 games · break-even highlightedNo other active CA games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$5,000,000 Extreme Cash: prizes, value and pace
As of October 25, 2026, 4 of the 4 $5,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 12 prize levels the lottery reports, 2,900,366 of 4,004,840 prizes (72%) remain.
At current prize levels a $20 ticket returns about $16.1 on average (0.81 per dollar), which ranks 4 of 13 $20 games on sale in California, above the $20 median of 0.79. Among every California game with a computable value it is 11 of 80; nationally it sits in the 94th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 453,990 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the California lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN CA
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a CA game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.