CA · #1725 · $10

$1,000,000 Poker

California· Launched Apr 2026· 63 days on shelf· scanned yesterday

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.76

USA percentile

83th

of 1,870 games

Top prizes left

9

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-06-21

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$1,000,000 Poker is a $10 scratch-off game from the California (game #1725). It launched in April 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 9 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, as published by the California. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.50. Our models put its expected value at 0.76 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.76 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.76 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.75% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 83rd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$1M
9/12
75%
$20K
9/12
$10K
18/24
$5K
21/25
$1K
658/924
$500
3.2K/4.9K
$200
14.7K/22.1K
$100
102.1K/154.6K
$50
154.8K/233.7K
$25
254.6K/383.6K
$20
671.8K/1.0M
$15
957.0K/1.4M
$10
579.3K/864.0K

Total unclaimed prize value: $72.56M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,870 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CA median0.70 EV/$
YOU · 83th
USA: 83th percentileCA: 66th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -16%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 16% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — CA field

58 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$420.000.250.500.97YOU

No other active CA games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN CA

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal