AR · #898 · $5

Win $500!

Arkansas· Launched Jun 2026· 64 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.72

USA percentile

72th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

3083

$500 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Win $500! is a $5 scratch-off game from the Arkansas (game #898). It launched in June 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 3083 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, as published by the Arkansas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.84. Our models put its expected value at 0.72 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.72 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.72 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.70% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 72nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

6 tiers · % remaining
$500
3.1K/4.4K
70%
$100
191/274
$50
13.1K/18.9K
$20
30.7K/44.1K
$10
195.4K/279.1K
$5
161.6K/227.7K

Total unclaimed prize value: $5.59M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active AR games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
AR median0.70 EV/$
YOU · 72th
USA: 72th percentileAR: 58th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +10%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — AR field

77 games · break-even highlighted
$0$6$12$220.000.250.500.99YOU

No other active AR games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN AR

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal