Fiery 5s
Arkansas· Launched Sep 2025· 428 days on shelf· scanned 65d ago
EV / Dollar
0.72
USA percentile
73th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
1
$100,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-08-31
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Fiery 5s is a $5 scratch-off game from the Arkansas lottery (game #858). It launched in September 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $100,000 remains unclaimed, as published by the Arkansas lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.62. Our models put its expected value at 0.72 per dollar, returning about $0.72 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 5 of 14 $5 games on sale in Arkansas.
THE THESIS
At 0.72 EV/$, this game ranks 5 of 14 same-price games on sale in Arkansas (median 0.72).
- 1.50% of $100,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 73rd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
10 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $2.21M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active AR games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersPrice vs EV — AR field
77 games · break-even highlightedNo other active AR games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Fiery 5s: prizes, value and pace
As of August 31, 2026, 1 of the 2 $100,000 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 168,431 of 438,774 prizes (38%) remain; the thinnest level is $25, with 37% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.62 on average (0.72 per dollar), which ranks 5 of 14 $5 games on sale in Arkansas, above the $5 median of 0.72. Among every Arkansas game with a computable value it is 30 of 73; nationally it sits in the 73th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 25 days, 964 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Arkansas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the August 31, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN AR
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a AR game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.