Did I Win?
Arkansas· Launched Sep 2025· 400 days on shelf· scanned 65d ago
EV / Dollar
0.56
USA percentile
10th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
1
$5,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-08-31
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Did I Win? is a $1 scratch-off game from the Arkansas lottery (game #860). It launched in September 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $5,000 remains unclaimed, as published by the Arkansas lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.66. Our models put its expected value at 0.56 per dollar, returning about $0.56 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 9 of 11 $1 games on sale in Arkansas.
THE THESIS
At 0.56 EV/$, this game ranks 9 of 11 same-price games on sale in Arkansas (median 0.60).
- 1.33% of $5,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 10th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
11 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $171,186 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active AR games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersPrice vs EV — AR field
77 games · break-even highlightedNo other active AR games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Did I Win?: prizes, value and pace
As of August 31, 2026, 1 of the 3 $5,000 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 11 prize levels the lottery reports, 65,319 of 288,359 prizes (23%) remain; the thinnest level is $100, with 14% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $1 ticket returns about $0.56 on average (0.56 per dollar), which ranks 9 of 11 $1 games on sale in Arkansas, below the $1 median of 0.60. Among every Arkansas game with a computable value it is 70 of 73; nationally it sits in the 10th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 25 days, 859 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Arkansas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the August 31, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN AR
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a AR game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.