$10,000 Burst
Arkansas· Launched Aug 2026· 92 days on shelf· scanned 65d ago
EV / Dollar
0.76
USA percentile
86th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
131
$10,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-08-31
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$10,000 Burst is a $10 scratch-off game from the Arkansas lottery (game #907). It launched in August 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 131 top prizes of $10,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Arkansas lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.01. Our models put its expected value at 0.76 per dollar, returning about $0.76 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 9 of 15 $10 games on sale in Arkansas.
THE THESIS
At 0.76 EV/$, this game ranks 9 of 15 same-price games on sale in Arkansas (median 0.76).
- 1.82% of $10,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 86th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
9 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $7.38M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active AR games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersPrice vs EV — AR field
77 games · break-even highlightedNo other active AR games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$10,000 Burst: prizes, value and pace
As of August 31, 2026, 131 of the 160 $10,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 9 prize levels the lottery reports, 321,134 of 405,094 prizes (79%) remain.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $7.64 on average (0.76 per dollar), which ranks 9 of 15 $10 games on sale in Arkansas, level with the $10 median of 0.76. Among every Arkansas game with a computable value it is 17 of 73; nationally it sits in the 86th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 25 days, 75,083 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 26 top prizes.
Figures come from the prize data the Arkansas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the August 31, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN AR
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a AR game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.