NJ · #1850 · $20

$50,000,000 Explosion

New Jersey· Launched Mar 2024· 858 days on shelf· scanned yesterday

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.69

USA percentile

58th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1497

$500 tier

% sold-through

82%

2026-08-04

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$50,000,000 Explosion is a $20 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1850). It launched in March 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 1497 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 82% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.69 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.18% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 82% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.82% sold-through with sufficient prize coverage remaining across all tiers.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 58th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

4 tiers · % remaining
$500
1.5K/8.5K
18%
$300
455/2.5K
$200
18.3K/103.3K
$100
54.2K/305.3K

Total unclaimed prize value: $9.96M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 58th
USA: 58th percentileNJ: 61th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 27Jun 3Jun 10Jun 17Jun 24Jul 14Jul 21Jul 28Aug 40%25%50%75%100%

Insufficient historical data for sellout projection.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +50%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 50% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal