MO · #489 · $5

SMOKIN HOT CASH

Missouri· Launched Sep 2024· 701 days on shelf· scanned 37d ago

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.68

USA percentile

53th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

3

$100,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-06-29

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

SMOKIN HOT CASH is a $5 scratch-off game from the Missouri (game #489). It launched in September 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $100 remain unclaimed, as published by the Missouri. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.83. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.60% of $100,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 53rd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

11 tiers · % remaining
$100K
3/5
60%
$20K
1/4
$5K
8/20
$1K
42/92
$500
146/325
$100
6.9K/15.6K
$50
33.1K/74.8K
$25
19.0K/42.5K
$15
72.9K/161.7K
$10
183.9K/404.3K
$5
266.7K/566.1K

Total unclaimed prize value: $7.56M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MO games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
YOU · 53th
USA: 53th percentileMO: 52th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d

Price vs EV — MO field

88 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.350.701.21break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other MO game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal