+EV TODAY · 1.23MI · #630 · $50

500X Money Maker

Michigan· Launched Sep 2023· 1000 days on shelf· scanned yesterday

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

1.23

USA percentile

100th

of 1,870 games

Top prizes left

1

$6,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-06-21

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

500X Money Maker is a $50 scratch-off game from the Michigan (game #630). It launched in September 2023. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $6M remains unclaimed, as published by the Michigan. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.43. Our models put its expected value at 1.23 per dollar, currently above break-even — statistically, it returns more than $1 for every $1 spent at present prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 1.23 EV/$, this game currently returns more than $1 for every $1 spent — statistically profitable with prizes still in play.

  1. 1.33% of $6.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 100th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

8 tiers · % remaining
$6M
1/3
33%
$50K
1/27
$5K
21/526
$500
1.6K/67.4K
$300
3.5K/133.2K
$200
9.3K/359.3K
$100
28.6K/917.8K
$75
27.2K/851.3K

Total unclaimed prize value: $14.78M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,870 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active MI games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
MI median0.74 EV/$
YOU · 100th
USA: 100th percentileMI: 99th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -31%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 31% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — MI field

112 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.350.701.33break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other MI game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN MI

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal