FL · #1612 · $10

$500,000 HOLIDAY CA$H

Florida· Launched Oct 2025· 282 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.72

USA percentile

70th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$500,000 HOLIDAY CA$H is a $10 scratch-off game from the Florida (game #1612). It launched in October 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $500 remains unclaimed, as published by the Florida. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.46. Our models put its expected value at 0.72 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.72 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.72 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.25% of $500,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 70th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$500K
1/4
25%
$10K
9/89
$5K
34/356
$1K
242/2.1K
$500
855/8.9K
$250
862/9.0K
$100
16.9K/178.4K
$50
17.5K/178.2K
$40
5.0K/44.6K
$20
83.9K/713.1K
$15
97.6K/891.3K
$10
136.4K/1.1M

Total unclaimed prize value: $8.91M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active FL games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
FL median0.69 EV/$
YOU · 70th
USA: 70th percentileFL: 64th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -31%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 31% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — FL field

95 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.300.601.14break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other FL game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN FL

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal