FL · #1578 · $10

$500,000 HOLIDAY BLOWOUT

Florida· Launched Oct 2024· 646 days on shelf· scanned 8d ago

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.74

USA percentile

79th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-07-28

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$500,000 HOLIDAY BLOWOUT is a $10 scratch-off game from the Florida (game #1578). It launched in October 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, as published by the Florida. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.45. Our models put its expected value at 0.74 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.74 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.74 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $500,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 79th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$500K
2/6
33%
$10K
47/137
$5K
146/406
$1K
1.5K/4.1K
$500
6.0K/15.9K
$250
4.3K/11.5K
$100
91.8K/243.3K
$50
117.5K/312.5K
$40
25.5K/67.9K
$20
412.6K/1.1M
$15
515.5K/1.4M
$10
626.7K/1.6M

Total unclaimed prize value: $46.12M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active FL games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
FL median0.69 EV/$
YOU · 79th
USA: 79th percentileFL: 72th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -100%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 100% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — FL field

95 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.300.601.14break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other FL game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal